# prediction markets

Published articles for prediction markets.

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## Testing Trust in Prediction Markets | Part 1

DevFeed: [Testing Trust in Prediction Markets | Part 1](<https://devfeed.tech/articles/testing-trust-in-prediction-markets-part-1-20435.md>)

Original publisher: [Read original article](<https://sift.com/blog/testing-trust-in-prediction-markets-pt-1/>)

Author: David Phillips

Published: 2026-09-03T13:15:00Z

Content type: opinion

Language: en

Sources: [Sift Science](<https://devfeed.tech/sources/sift-science.md>)

Topics: [integrity](<https://devfeed.tech/topics/integrity.md>)

Tags: [data-insights](<https://devfeed.tech/tags/data-insights.md>), [fairness](<https://devfeed.tech/tags/fairness.md>), [fraud](<https://devfeed.tech/tags/fraud.md>), [integrity](<https://devfeed.tech/tags/integrity.md>), [prediction-markets](<https://devfeed.tech/tags/prediction-markets.md>), [prediction-markets-legislation](<https://devfeed.tech/tags/prediction-markets-legislation.md>), [trust](<https://devfeed.tech/tags/trust.md>)

### AI overview

Part 1 examines how reported insider trading, irregularities, settlement issues, and operational design choices in prediction markets can undermine claims about fairness, market integrity, collective intelligence, and truth. It argues that gaps between provider claims and market realities can erode public trust and invite political or regulatory responses.

### Source excerpt

This April, U.S. federal prosecutors charged an Army sergeant with using sensitive classified information to bet on Polymarket that U.S. forces would enter Venezuela and remove Maduro from power. About the same time, Kalshi disclosed that it had fined and suspended three congressional candidates for five years after they traded on prediction markets tied to [...] The post Testing Trust in Prediction Markets | Part 1 appeared first on Sift.

## Testing Trust in Prediction Markets | Part 2

DevFeed: [Testing Trust in Prediction Markets | Part 2](<https://devfeed.tech/articles/testing-trust-in-prediction-markets-part-2-20436.md>)

Original publisher: [Read original article](<https://sift.com/blog/testing-trust-in-prediction-markets-pt-2/>)

Author: David Phillips

Published: 2026-09-10T17:44:43Z

Content type: opinion

Language: en

Sources: [Sift Science](<https://devfeed.tech/sources/sift-science.md>)

Topics: [integrity](<https://devfeed.tech/topics/integrity.md>), [data](<https://devfeed.tech/topics/data.md>)

Tags: [analysis](<https://devfeed.tech/tags/analysis.md>), [comparison](<https://devfeed.tech/tags/comparison.md>), [data-insights](<https://devfeed.tech/tags/data-insights.md>), [digital-trust](<https://devfeed.tech/tags/digital-trust.md>), [fraud](<https://devfeed.tech/tags/fraud.md>), [integrity](<https://devfeed.tech/tags/integrity.md>), [prediction-markets](<https://devfeed.tech/tags/prediction-markets.md>), [trust](<https://devfeed.tech/tags/trust.md>)

### AI overview

Part 2 examines whether prediction markets can reliably produce trustworthy information. It compares Kalshi's centralized contract resolution with Polymarket's decentralized, oracle-based model and discusses risks involving contract interpretation, voting power, concentrated profits, and market integrity.

### Source excerpt

Missed Part 1? Read it here. Prediction markets make a bold claim that they are engines of truth discovery. Proponents argue that by aggregating collective judgment, prediction markets generate forecasts that are far more valuable than traditional gambling or sports betting. While that claim has merit, a prediction market's output is not merely a well [...] The post Testing Trust in Prediction Markets | Part 2 appeared first on Sift.

## Announcing the districts of the Ethereum World's Fair

DevFeed: [Announcing the districts of the Ethereum World's Fair](<https://devfeed.tech/articles/announcing-the-districts-of-the-ethereum-world-s-fair-17184.md>)

Original publisher: [Read original article](<https://blog.ethereum.org/en/2025/09/18/ethereum-worlds-fair>)

Author: Devcon

Published: 2025-09-18T00:00:00Z

Content type: release

Language: en

Sources: [Ethereum Foundation Blog](<https://devfeed.tech/sources/ethereum-foundation-blog.md>)

Topics: [Ethereum](<https://devfeed.tech/topics/ethereum.md>), [Transactions](<https://devfeed.tech/topics/transactions.md>), [Internet](<https://devfeed.tech/topics/internet.md>)

Tags: [ai](<https://devfeed.tech/tags/ai.md>), [ai-agents](<https://devfeed.tech/tags/ai-agents.md>), [devconnect](<https://devfeed.tech/tags/devconnect.md>), [ecosystem](<https://devfeed.tech/tags/ecosystem.md>), [ethereum](<https://devfeed.tech/tags/ethereum.md>), [events](<https://devfeed.tech/tags/events.md>), [identity](<https://devfeed.tech/tags/identity.md>), [innovation](<https://devfeed.tech/tags/innovation.md>), [nfts](<https://devfeed.tech/tags/nfts.md>), [payments](<https://devfeed.tech/tags/payments.md>), [prediction-markets](<https://devfeed.tech/tags/prediction-markets.md>), [privacy](<https://devfeed.tech/tags/privacy.md>), [ticketing](<https://devfeed.tech/tags/ticketing.md>)

### AI overview

Ethereum is announcing the districts for its World's Fair, planned for November in Buenos Aires. The event will demonstrate Ethereum applications and projects across finance, online coordination, physical-world use, privacy, gaming, artificial intelligence, scaling, and digital art.

### Source excerpt

World's Fairs have historically showcased the biggest innovations of their time like telephones, televisions, photography, and light bulbs. In this spirit, Ethereum gets its own World's Fair this November in Buenos Aires. A week where the ecosystem doesn't just talk about innovation, but showcases what's being built now, and what's...